Custom Search

Friday, March 09, 2007

What's the next trade?

Hmmm...

Off of the day charts:

EUR/USD indicated a short should be entered on 3/5. While the price looks to be moving in a channel, the TSI is indicating that it's short and the TCF started to indicate a stronger downtrend on 3/8. A missed boat?

USD/JPY gave an exit short signal on 3/7. The TSI and CMO are a hair away from showing a long signal. However, I've seen the price jump away in the other direction. This may give a long signal on Monday.

GBP/USD is on a short run. The CMO hit -50 today (3/9) but the TSI is not quite horizontal. Not at all sure if that is a valid exit short sign.

USD/CHF I think I missed the boat on this one. A short exit showed up on 3/5 and all indicators showed long on 3/8

EUR/CHF I may enter long on this one. A short exit showed up on 3/7, CMO hit the zero line on 3/8, and both TSI and TCF indicated a long early 3/9. I think EUR/CHF's action might trail USD/CHF's a bit.

EUR/GBP this is one of the charts that made me think I should have stayed with USD/CAD. It is still on an uptrend from 2/6. It's CMO has hit the 50 line twice since then (2/20 and 3/7) with the TSI going horizontal on 2/20and 3/8. Of note: on 2/20 the TSI line was above 25. Does this mean that the CMO hitting 50 (on a long) and horizontal TSI that is above 25 indicates that the position should *not* be exited? Regardless, I'm not sure if EUR/GBP is continuing its uptrend or not. I'll reassess once the CMO hits the zero line.

USD/CAD Maybe short in a day or two.

AUD/USD indicated that shorts should be exited on 3/8. Long signal looks like it may come mid week.

EUR/CAD indicated that longs should be exited on 3/5. A short signal came up on 3/8 (close of 1.5492). This one is a bit of a dilemma, recently the price action has not been significant. Considering that the price is now down to 1.5369, the down trend might be anywhere between a third to halfway over. That and the CMO journey above 50 was a short one. I don't think entering a short now would be all that good. I'll call this one a "missed boat".

EUR/AUD indicated that longs should be exited on 3/7. Maybe short in a day or two.

CHF/JPY indicated that shorts should be exited on 3/7. No clear indication of when a long signal will be coming up.

AUD/CAD is futzing around with no clear indication of direction.

EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY, GBP/CHF, AUD/JPY, NZD/USD, CAD/JPY, NZD/USD indicated that shorts should be exited on 3/7. Maybe long in a day or two.